منابع مشابه
Closeness and Turnout in Runoff Elections
This study aims at contributing to the literature on the effect of political competition on voting turnout. I test the Downsian Closeness Hypothesis (DCH) using data on runoffs elections in Hungary. This research design allows for estimating the effect of expected closeness using the variation of margins in the first round races to avoid the endogeneity problem inherent in ex post measures of c...
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Public voting in polling stations is believed to have a socioculturallyintegrative effect, conveyed through the symbolic and ritualistic character of the election process. Remote internet voting is believed to not be able to provide this effect, because it omits the corporeal appearance at the polling station. The following contribution aims at indicating how such a sociocultural effect could b...
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We investigate the extent to which it is possible to rig the agenda of an election or competition so as to favor a particular candidate in the presence of imperfect information about the preferences of the electorate. We assume that what is known about an electorate is the probability that any given candidate will beat another. As well as presenting some analytical results relating to the compl...
متن کاملMajority runoff elections: Strategic voting and Duverger's hypothesis
The majority runoff system is widely used around the world, yet our understanding of its properties and of voters’ behavior is limited. In this paper, we fully characterize the set of strictly perfect voting equilibria in large three-candidate majority runoff elections. Considering all possible distributions of preference orderings and intensities, we prove that only two types of equilibria can...
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I attempt to quantify strategic voting using the mixed (proportional and plurality) dual ballot election system in Hungary. The main finding is that there is a moderate amount of desertion of “third parties”. The smaller the likelihood of a second round, and the closer the large parties are, the more pronounced the desertion, consistent with a hypothesis of strategic voting. I thank Chishio Fur...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Public Opinion Quarterly
سال: 2020
ISSN: 0033-362X,1537-5331
DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfaa039